Tuesday, October 13, 2009

Brain Food: Can Maths Really Let You See Into The Future?

From The Guardian:

Meet the professor who can seemingly predict political events using a laptop.

Let's start with some news from the near future. Iran won't build a nuclear bomb. With extra aid money, Pakistan will become more peaceful. And the Copenhagen summit on climate change this December is doomed to failure.

If Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is right, those are the headlines you'll be reading over the next few months. The author of a new book called Predictioneer, he makes big-picture forecasts employing maths, and a laptop that has been so heavily used its letters have worn away.

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